Journal Article
No. 2014-26 | June 27, 2014
Mikhail Stolbov
The Causal Linkages between Sovereign CDS Prices for the BRICS and Major European Economies

Abstract

The article examines causal relationships between sovereign credit default swaps (CDS) prices for the BRICS and most important EU economies (Germany, France, the UK, Italy, Spain) during the European debt crisis. The cross-correlation function (CCF) approach that distinguishes between causality-in-mean and causality-in-variance and the Breitung–Candelon causality test in the frequency domain are used in the research. Both tests reveal limited dependence of the BRICS CDS (especially, in the case of Brazil, China and South Africa) on the EU CDS prices. Thus, the paper underscores the signs of decoupling in the sovereign CDS market and also supports the view that the European debt crisis has so far had a limited non-EU impact in this market.

Data Set

JEL Classification:

C50, G10, G15

Links

Cite As

Mikhail Stolbov (2014). The Causal Linkages between Sovereign CDS Prices for the BRICS and Major European Economies. Economics: The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal, 8 (2014-26): 1–43. http://dx.doi.org/10.5018/economics-ejournal.ja.2014-26