Journal Article

No. 2009-16 | May 06, 2009
DSGE Models and Central Banks PDF Icon
(Published as Survey and Overview)

Abstract

Over the past 15 years there has been remarkable progress in the specification and estimation of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models. Central banks in developed and emerging market economies have become increasingly interested in their usefulness for policy analysis and forecasting. This paper reviews some issues and challenges surrounding the use of these models at central banks. It recognises that they offer coherent frameworks for structuring policy discussions. Nonetheless, they are not ready to accomplish all that is being asked of them. First, they still need to incorporate relevant transmission mechanisms or sectors of the economy; second, issues remain on how to empirically validate them; and finally, challenges remain on how to effectively communicate their features and implications to policy makers and to the public. Overall, at their current stage DSGE models have important limitations. How much of a problem this is will depend on their specific use at central banks.

JEL Classification

B4 C5 E0 E32 E37 E50 E52 E58 F37 F41 F47

Citation

Camilo E. Tovar (2009). DSGE Models and Central Banks. Economics: The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal, 3 (2009-16): 1—31. http://dx.doi.org/10.5018/economics-ejournal.ja.2009-16

Assessment

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Comments and Questions


Donghun Joo - DSGE, pros and cons
February 25, 2011 - 09:51

Possibilities and limitations of new Keynesian DSGE model is fairly well described. I got a lot of help from this paper.