@TechReport{economics.dp.2013-11, author = {Haas, Armin, Onischka, Mathias, and Fucik, Markus}, title = {Black Swans, Dragon Kings, and Bayesian Risk Management}, type = {Economics Discussion Paper}, institution = {Kiel Institute for the World Economy}, year = {2013}, number = {2013-11}, url = {http://www.economics-ejournal.org/economics/discussionpapers/2013-11} }